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2011/04/21

It's playoff time!

I planned to go on and analyze the playoff pairs before the big games started. Here I am, however, a week late and some reality adjustment wiser. Nevertheless, here I go. First round prognosis and some random comments as dressing.

Let's follow the sun and start from the East. WSH-NYR. Rangers have some guts and they've played playoff hockey since March. Grinding away to the last game, they managed to get lucky and get in. Exhausted, yes, but still have to be pretty pumped up too. Capitals knew they'd be in the playoffs for a long time already. They have started the preparations early and changed their style to more defencive minded. The big guns haven't gone anywhere and keep on blasting the opponents away when given the chance. Therefore, Rangers have to fall in this series. It's been even so far, but already 3-1 for Washington. Next game will be a blowout, 5-1 for Capitals, Ovechkin popping up a notch and scoring a couple.

Philly-Sabres, that's an interesting matchup. Based on early season it would have been murder, Flyers taking it easily 4-0. Now it's 2-2 after poor regular season finish for Philadelphia and a great one for Buffalo. Ryan Miller has stolen couple of games for Sabres already. Still, that's going to end. Flyers are just way too strong to contain by a average lineup and a great goalie. They'll add a notch on the nastiness too, now that Miller's been denying the conventional scoring. Philly takes the next two and advances to second round.

Boston-Montreal, a classic. These teams have played each other so much over the years that they have a pretty good scouting report each on how to play the opponent. Boston has been very solid all year, Montreal has improved from last seasons. In general this should still be much more biased for Boston. Somehow Montreal has been able to dominate early. However, after getting the crucial win on the game 3, Boston will discover its lost confidence and sweep the rest of the series. Carey Price will turn human again and won't be able to steal the show.

PIT-TBL was another very interesting setup. With Malkin and Crosby well and in the lineup, Penguins would have ended in the finals for sure. Now, it seems like a miracle that they finished so high in the standings on regular season and keep on playing great in the playoffs. Fleury gives the edge in goal for Pittsburgh every night, but the offence is based on sub-50 point players only. Hard working, grinding style seems to work well against the Lightning and Penguins are one win away from advancing. Tampa has had only Martin St. Louis deliver on expected, and extremely high, level. Other guys seem to have dropped the ball (puck?) somehow. Lecavalier and Stamkos have the last moment to pick up their game if they plan to continue this season. I would have picked Lightning to take this one earlier, but now I can't see it happening. If Crosby returns on the second round, he's going to be all over the sports news like never before.

Passing the middle and moving to the West. East may be more of a playoff experience, low scoring, tight, grinding games. West has the entertainment factor of less balanced, hollywood-like, goal scoring fests.

Vancouver-Chicago. What a nightmare reward for destroying the competition for the whole year in Vancouver. Defending champs sure are dangerous, no matter how they played the and of the season. Lucky to be in, nothing to lose -attitude just adds up in the pressure towards Canucks. My guess was, and still is, that Canucks can take this series and go really far this year. The team is just so solid on all positions. Chicago could have gone far, but not with this team agains them on the first round. From players, Luongo will take over and Sedin twins will find the groove and possibly take the playoff scoring 1-2 spots.

SJ-LA, the two non-traditional, Californian hockey teams facing each other. What a setup. And good for the environment, not much travelling. Here I'd have said that San Jose takes this easily 4-0 with LA losing its top two forwards on the last stretch of regular season. Kings have really fought back courageously, but can't stop the obvious. Sharks will rip them to pieces on the last two and surf to the next round. Veteran leaders Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau will pick up their game and carry the younger Sharks to the next challenge.

Detroit-Phoenix, well this was the easiest to pick. Detroit has just been too good this year to even stumble with the Coyotes. Wouldn't have given them the sweep, but now that's the reality. Detroit sure has the team to go far this year, again. Datsuyk is just too good and if Zetterberg returns healthy, they'll have some serious added punch to beware.

Ducks-Predators is a matchup between offence and defence. I'm calling offence and Ducks going forward. They've become maybe the most entertaining team in the league on the second half of the season and I sure would like them to go far. Nashville just hasn't got the goods to match. Average scoring, great defence and goaltending, they may be enough, but won't carry over to the third round. Ducks might surprise everyone in the league with 7-5 wins. I just love to see Teemu Selänne shoving the pucks to the net like he's 20 again. Hopefully it's another good run for him too and a great motivation to keep on playing. Pretty big numbers on the backs of guys to be passed next on the all time scoring lists. Hall of famers all. Corey Perry, Ryan Getzlaf and Bobby Ryan will regroup on the next games and start really spreading fear to all the rest of the West.

I'll end this long post here and try to return with more foresight before it's too late. That being in the beginning of the second round, at latest.

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