Playoff race - Mar 3 - Carlyle, Parise and the Lightning

March 3rd provided the anticipated move in Toronto. Coach Ron Wilson got sacked and was immediately replaced by Randy Carlyle, who was dumped by Ducks earlier this season. Funny how it works again that the coach who couldn't get a brilliant Anaheim roster to work at all, is all of a sudden again trusted with another franchise. These guys truly are untouchable. This just makes it harder for anyone to break into the head coaching in NHL, no matter how you're doing in other leagues. Spots open mostly through retirement. I wrote about this earlier on a separate post on coaching in NHL. Toronto is way too late for anything spectacular this season. They were one of the biggest surprises for a long period, but have pretty much fallen out of the competition in the latest slide. Miracles happen, but not likely for the Leafs.

The New Jersey Devils pulled off another solid performance, thrashing the disappointing Washington Capitals 5-0. They're on pace for the playoffs again and will be a tough opponent for anyone. Team captain and superstar Zach Parise was crushed on a check by two Capitals' players and had to leave the game. If he misses any time, it's a big blow to the spirits and game chemistry for the Devils. Parise was in good spirits after the game, but it wouldn't be the first time when players misinterpret the effects of a big hit.

Led by scoring machine Steven Stamkos, the Tampa Bay Lightning took another step in their late push for the playoffs. They're way behind in the points charts, but luckily have the door open through the lowly Southeast division. Tampa Bay still has the chance to sneak into the postseason by outplaying Florida, Winnipeg and Washington in the final month of the regular season. The big difference is that the Bolts seem to be enjoying their game right now and are scoring like they should with that lineup. At the same time all the others fighting for that lone spot in the postseason seem to struggle in various degrees. There's still a lot of four point games to play against the division foes, so this might get interesting in the coming weeks.

Deadline pancake and a bunch of false prophets

So, the long waited NHL trade deadline came and went. Lots of articles were written and anticipation was attracted to highest levels. Then the actual day went on and pretty much nothing happened. I followed on the path of the big boys and played with the thoughts of big names moving to new teams and changing the franchises' directions. Well, should have known better. I now believe this was one big hoax conjured by the viewer hungry sports media and not really based on any proper background work.

Rick Nash stayed put. No one really even tried to get him. Or at least the seller and buyers were totally on different pages. Well, he's not entering free agency so it should have been easier to predict that all the fuzz about him was bit unnecessary.

Zach Parise, Ryan Suter, Alex Semin and other big names with big contracts that fill be free agents? No moves, nothing.

The kids with remarkably upbeat seasons, e.g. P.A. Parenteau and Michael Del Zotto? Nothing? New York teams must know something we don't to not make a move with these guys. Re-sign, that is.

Biggest of the actual trades took place before the deadline day. LA Kings putting their hope on fallen star Jeff Carter and New Jersey Devils coughing up a lot to take a chance with slick blueliner Marek Zidlicky were probably the biggest. Then there was some third line reshaping and grit adding moves by potential cup contenders. Added experience may well be worth a lot duning the long playoff run. Just as well it may be irrelevant.

It seems that the trend today is to trust in the team chemistry built in the first two thirds of the season instead of trying to pull a magical move in the last minute to get an edge. The mystifying part is that all the teams on the bubble or having already lost the season are also pretty content with what they have. One could think that the bubble teams would be willing to take the biggest risks at this time and the bottom dwellers would start dramatic reshaping by unloading the failed core of the team.

As a summary, I was disappointed with the deadline action and fooled by the buzz like everyone else. Mental note is to aim to be one step ahead of this media hype instead of following on the beaten path. We'll see..

Top of the trade buzz

We're getting close to the trade deadline of February 27th and the buzz around the potential trades is increasing. I'll rank the obvious big names here and throw in a list of guys who are rocketing towards big contracts after tremendous seasons.

Let's begin with the names that come up the most when talking about major moves. On offense, there's two names above others, Zach Parise and Rick Nash. Undeniably, both are superstars and still in their prime years. Nash is not a free agent yet, but since Columbus seems to be pulling the plug, they may go all the way and trade their franchise player. Good for Nash, though. Wherever he'll land (obviously the target is in a playoff bound team), he'll have a chance of proving everyone how good he really is. I've seen him play in international level with some high caliber Canadian linemates and he's on par with anyone out there. One of the best finishers in the game and a huge physical force. Get in line if you have cap room. I wouldn't be too surprised if Detroit would be the one to decide to build their future around Rick Nash.

Parise is another guy already up there in the talent ladder. He can be the first line winger in any team in the NHL. However, the team that goes after him should have that gap in the first line for a perfect fit. Since this season has been a major improvement for New Jersey Devils, Parise might actually be tempted to sign for a few more years setting up Kovalchuk's blasts or tapping in Elias' passes. They've been on a roll lately.

In defense, who hasn't heard the talks on the Nashville pair of Shea Weber and Ryan Suter. Both are free agents to be and will require a boatload of cash to sign. It's unlikely that Nashville will come up with 15 million to tie to these two. They'll flip a coin and try to sign one and just need to get the maximum value out of trading the other. My guess is that Weber stays and Suter goes. Takers are numerous. All the potential Cup contenders will need depth in the defense when playoff time comes and count of bruises increases. And if the guy boosts the solid defensive play with excellent offensive weapons, well, who wouldn't love that.

There's a couple of hometown legends entering free agency after this season in Shane Doan and Ryan Smyth. It's very likely that they'll sign a couple of more years in Phoenix and Edmonton, since they seem to be very much loyal to the teams. Doan's case might be a bit more difficult in the Coyotes are broke as always and can't match his salary requirements. Either of these two would be very valuable in the playoff run with the heart and experience they bring in. Maybe even as purely rental players for the Cup run. Shaky, but potential teams like Flyers and Blackhawks could definitely use some calm leadership. Even Washington might try for a final push to make the playoffs and possibly ignite the potential to go further.

Then there's Finland's favourite, Tuomo Ruutu. He's been healthy (until this week) and playing on top of his game the past two seasons. Ruutu is an absolute force on the ice, cheking, digging for the puck and driving to the net. Anyone who has seen him play can agree that this guy really gives it all out on the rink. The style he plays has demanded a lot on his body. Now it would be the moment for Ruutu to end up in a much better hockey club and really become a fan favorite and a clutch player for the playoff run. He would fit in well in hard working Rangers or Blues. Equally well he could bring in the much needed grit to some softer talent-driven teams like Red Wings or Sharks. I hope to see him land on another team for another gear in his career.

In the bracket of underpaid, highly successful players looking for big contracts we have a few interesting names. James Neal and Matt Duchene are already in the secondary level in their current contracts, but have proven to be worth even more.

The two guys that can expect the most upgrade in the league are both from New York. Islanders' PA Parenteau has been playing a point per game for one of the poorest teams in the league for one million. He seems to have potential up through the roof and all teams should have him on their radars. Rangers' Michael Del Zotto has become a dominant force in the defense and has been on the top of plus-minus charts all season. He's also playing for a million and a chance this year and can expect much more for a long term.

On the goalies department there are three distinct guys that have stellar numbers but will not have the ice time while sitting behind established franchise goaltenders. Boston's Tuukka Rask may want to wait out in Boston for Tim Thomas to retire. Vancouver's Cory Schneider will not wait for Roberto Luongo's retirement and the Canucks cannot keep such a good goalkeeper as a backup for peanuts. He'll be traded to try out for a number one goalie spot in a team like Tampa Bay or Chicago. Another potential starter is Minnesota's Josh Harding. He has challenged Niklas Bäckström this season, but might want to take the starting position for granted somewhere else. Also for Minnesota it might be better to rely on Bäckström and start raising a next generation keeper behind him.

I'll soon post another story on the potential but dangerous investments in the trade deadline. Going to go through fragile superstars, ageless veterans and absolute gambles. Until then, let's keep our eyes on the trade trackers.

The good, the bad, and the ugly - Trades of summer 2011

Philly got its share of attention on my last post. Now it's time to focus on the other big deals that have been pulled off this summer. Not in any particular order, I just dug those out from some listing in the net.

Zach Parise was tagged for one more year in the Devils uniform. Seems like after last season he's pretty much through with the team and just wanted to give one more year out of common courtesy before jumping to a more modern team. He's a brilliant young talent and will likely thrive in a more attach oriented and balanced team. New Jersey may bounce back with the big guns blazing, but will fall short of anything spectacular. Solid season in the pipeline for Parise, but if the Devils don't improve, he'll see a decline in his production too.

Brent Burns signed for five years in sunny San Jose. He'll be the backbone of the Sharks team for the coming years. A all star level defenceman with great playmaking skills and proper toughness around the net is definitely a good building block to carry on. San Jose will be even more dangerous with Burns on the defence and may even pull the best effort of the franchise history if the offense keeps on producing like in the past.

Keith Yandle took pretty similar approach as Burns before, agreeing on a five year contract on the Coyotes. The desert dogs will not be cup contenders in the coming years, if ever. It's actually more likely that Yandle will end this contract on a franchise with another name, or location, or both. If someone sorts out the financials, the hockey in Arizona will come to its end in the coming years. Yandle was phenomenal last season on the offensive end and finished close to the top of production rankings for defencemen. His skills on the own end are not as good as e.g. Burns', but he'll keep on improving and being the defensive leader of the young Coyotes' team.

New York Rangers managed to keep their heart and soul in Ryan Callahan and Brandon Dubinsky. On top of that they reeled in the big fish in Brad Richards to spark up the finesse of team's offense. Callahan and Dubinsky keep on pounding gritty goals and frustrating the opposition's top lines. Richards was brought in to create some magic. Admittedly, it was a fantastic sales position for Richards, and Rangers are taking somewhat of a risk with a massive contract, but it will be thrilling to see what he can bring the Big Apple. Given the proper supporting cast, Brad Richars can pump the Rangers back to being a playoff team.

Steven Stamkos got basically anything he asked after last season's efforts. This guy has potential to overtake even Crosby and Ovechkin in raw and powerful productivity. If he can carry on playing with Marty St. Louis, the duo will keep on embarassing opposing goalies throughout the coming season. Stamkos may have ran out of gas a bit in the end of last season, but he's gained massive experience from it and will surely return even more dangerous. A must keep for Tampa for numerous reasons, the least not being success and fanbase.

St. Louis Blues took an interesting angle in acquiring graybeards Jason Arnott and Jamie Langenbrunner for one more year. These two have had some ups and downs on the latter part of their careers, depending on the roles they've been put in the teams they've played for. Both of the men have very good seasons on their resume and certainly have proven themselves as high caliber NHLers. It only remains to be seen where will they land in the youthful, but highly inconsistent Blues. Given the right role and embracing it might prove this move to be brilliant in letting the veterans pull off another solid season while rubbing some experienced calmness and rationality to the younger corps. If not, these guys will not hit the headlines too often, just like the rest of the team in St. Louis.

One of the most exiting trades this offseason was San Jose and Minnesota swapping Dany Heatley and Martin Havlat. It's a swap of two incredibly talented, but a bit unbalanced players. Heatley just hasn't been the same since the unfortunate car accident in the past and Havlat's inconsistency is it the top of the league. With different weapons in Heatley's deadly shot and Havlat's incredible speed and moves it is more than just a swap of jerseys on the backs of guys. As highly paid top line forwards, both demand attention and adjustment of the rest of the line and team to extract maximum value on the palyers' talents. If done properly I can already see this being a really good trade for both. San Jose has some younger snipers following Heatley's footsteps and ready to fill up the gap in shots on goal. The obvious question is how many breakaways will Joe Thornton set up for Mr. Havlat this season? My guess is in the three digits. If Havlat stays healthy, he could well return in the top of the scoring race like few years back. On the Minnesota end of the rink I can easily see Heatley's linemates, led by Mikko Koivu, digging in the offensive end corners to just ship the puck for a one-timer for Dany-boy and personal notch on the assists column. Minnesota top line will be a threat to anyone. The question remains, who else is there in the team?

Finally, the most interesting goalie move of the offseason. Thomas Vokoun was given the final chance to take a shot at being a Stanley Cup winner in the high expectation Washington Capitals. He just has to take a firm grip on the number one goalie spot on the team, show why his career stats are simply brilliant after playing for low end team, and keep up the pace in the unfamiliar territory of playoffs. Not the easiest task in a team that is expected to keep on winning, but doable with Vokoun's undeniable talent. In the worst case it's still going to be good for Washington to have a veteran goaltender putting some pressure on the young keepers and keeping them sharp.

Very interesting summer indeed. I'm anxious to see how the games start and what tracks these biggest movers and shakers take. A fresh new NHL season up ahead!